Search found 118 matches

by SPR
Fri Dec 13, 2024 12:05 pm
Forum: Porter Airlines
Topic: It's Time
Replies: 214
Views: 33919

Re: It's Time

So you've brought the goods and yet Porter is still around after your failed prediction 15+ years ago, why should anyone believe you? Looks like your daily posts are just "noise". Maybe not 15 years ago, but they nearly went out of business in 2018. From the lawsuit with Nieuport: https://www.canli...
by SPR
Tue Oct 22, 2024 8:41 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: AC or Porter?
Replies: 28
Views: 9617

Re: AC or Porter?

This will be the true test of union vs non union environment... In my opinion, the true test of a union vs non-union environment is not what happens when things are good, but when things are bad. It's great when management throws raises at pilots during boom times, but as soon as things slow down t...
by SPR
Tue Sep 10, 2024 8:20 am
Forum: Air Canada
Topic: It is imminent.......be ready.
Replies: 576
Views: 127440

Re: It is imminent.......be ready.

There is a major difference between a strike and a lockout, which is the effect on passenger compensation. In the event of a strike, the carrier is not on the hook to compensate for disruptions, as it's considered beyond their control in the same way as a weather event. However, a lockout is very cl...
by SPR
Tue Sep 03, 2024 9:21 am
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: Flair launches one dollar base fares
Replies: 27
Views: 10379

Re: Flair launches one dollar base fares

Did any of you jokers proclaiming $1 fares as the death knell of Flair actually look into it at all? The only seats being offered for $1 base fare are the northbound flights from places like CUN during the first week or so of the season that Flair is operating there. Almost nobody is booking a retu...
by SPR
Tue Jun 04, 2024 5:14 am
Forum: General Comments
Topic: Skylink Express is done.
Replies: 45
Views: 11002

Re: Skylink Express is done.

I don't understand why a purchase of 3 million barrels makes the news. The US consumes 21.6 million barrels of oil every day, so 3 million barrels of oil is about 2 hours and 45 minutes worth of fuel for that country. How does that make a material difference? I'm not an economics major and it's a g...
by SPR
Tue Jun 04, 2024 3:44 am
Forum: General Comments
Topic: Skylink Express is done.
Replies: 45
Views: 11002

Re: Skylink Express is done.

LoL. Only took the US gov draining their SPR to hold it down…anyway Bob, by your comments I’m putting you firmly in the “predicting no recession/ stagnation in coming years” , let’s see how your prediction ages. Well, you look pretty foolish: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-buys-3-millio...
by SPR
Wed Mar 20, 2024 8:15 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

I don't know why you keep referencing Theranos and Holmes. Apples to Orange situations here. Because they existed solely by burning investors' money and making pie-in-the-sky promises that they could never keep. There was no chance their business model would ever be sustainable. Indeed. Theranos's ...
by SPR
Wed Mar 20, 2024 8:04 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

Thanks for the links. Definitely adds some more context but I still don't see mentioning of losing $40 million and I think a lot of that is conjecture/posturing from Porter Execs trying to paint a sob story so they could get off the hook for Neuport. You're right, they only lost $35 million. :roll:...
by SPR
Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:51 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

Yea I only had to read the first sentence of that reposnse before I wasted my time reading the rest of that novel You think three paragraphs is a novel, and you find that too onerous to read? LOL OH NO there’s ONE route that was JUST launched by a carrier entering their second year of the operation...
by SPR
Mon Mar 11, 2024 8:00 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

Whenever I’ve looked at LAX flights the loads have been great, but sure bud! :rolleyes: SFO hasn’t been performing as well whenever I look at it. I know that city has major issues right now though. Again, that's anecdotal. The actual, hard, statistical data is available: https://www.lawa.org/-/medi...
by SPR
Sat Mar 09, 2024 6:09 pm
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

The loads for the transborder flights are available from the US DOT. Porter's loads to LAX were actually worse than Lynx's, so that can't be a good portent. Here is the lawsuit between Porter and Neuport. Nowhere does it mention "losing $40 million a year" and from what I can see any claims of profi...
by SPR
Fri Mar 08, 2024 11:12 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

The sale leaseback is a way to raise capital, eg buy from embreaer for 40 mill, sell to lesser for 45 mill and lease back based on a 60 mill valuation on the aircraft. Port gets 5 million now when the business is extremely capital intensive in exchange for a higher total investment on the aircraft ...
by SPR
Fri Mar 08, 2024 10:58 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

Considering the loads yesterday leaving YYZ we’re mostly full on a midday Wednesday I think you can consider those VERY hand picked lol I also operated during the holiday rush and they were pretty well all full flights aside from eastern triangle short hops. What an unbelievably ironic statement. I...
by SPR
Thu Mar 07, 2024 11:00 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

Some of Porter's December load factors were posted on another forum. This is second-hand data, and I haven't seen the sources, so I can't vouch for the numbers. YYZ-FLL 80% YYZ-RSW 65% YYZ-MIA 63% YYZ-MCO 77% YYZ-TPA 62% YYZ-YYC 65% YYZ-YEG 61% YYZ-YHZ 58% YYZ-YUL 49% YYZ-YOW 32% YYZ-YYT 53% YYZ-YVR...
by SPR
Thu Mar 07, 2024 10:27 am
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

There's no way Porter is making money on sale-leasebacks; that's entirely speculation from people who think the Deluces are financial wizards and can make money appear out of thin air. Porter has to perform the sale-leasebacks because they don't have the cash to buy the planes themselves, and even l...
by SPR
Tue Mar 05, 2024 9:51 pm
Forum: General Airline Industry Comments
Topic: Transat or Porter?
Replies: 95
Views: 20965

Re: Transat or Porter?

8895 wrote: Tue Mar 05, 2024 5:36 pm Porter has a pile of cash and plenty of ways to get more while the industry consolidates post Covid. Short to mid term I wouldn’t even bat an eye about worrying for the operation.
What are you basing this on?
by SPR
Sat Feb 10, 2024 9:25 am
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: Flair in hot water with the CRA
Replies: 31
Views: 8811

Re: Flair in hot water with the CRA

I don't think the issue is the CRA seizing assets. I think it's that money that's going to the CRA is being diverted from elsewhere, which means either someone isn't getting paid or bigger loans are being taken out. Based on Jones's evasion in the recent BNN interview, it's pretty clear that money i...
by SPR
Fri Dec 08, 2023 9:18 am
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: 100% flight completion rate in NOV
Replies: 5
Views: 3757

Re: 100% flight completion rate in NOV

Less than half. They're down to nine in operation.
by SPR
Tue Dec 05, 2023 9:39 pm
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: 777 Funded Flair Using Insurance Customers' Deposits
Replies: 56
Views: 24727

Re: 777 Funded Flair Using Insurance Customers' Deposits

The question you should be asking, is if going into a recession Porter, AC, and WestJet's business models can survive. AC is crown owned so they'll be fine. The less money people have to travel, the better the ULCC's will do. Think 1997 WestJet (when the population was only 30 Million) Wrong again:...
by SPR
Sat Nov 18, 2023 1:01 pm
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: 777 Funded Flair Using Insurance Customers' Deposits
Replies: 56
Views: 24727

777 Funded Flair Using Insurance Customers' Deposits

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mystery-investor-777-partners-bought-165507735.html New details show that the obscure Miami firm snapping up global sports teams used a $1.5 billion pot of customers’ cash at an insurance company it controls to do so. Financial documents reviewed by Semafor reveal tha...
by SPR
Tue Nov 07, 2023 9:33 am
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: Shutting down most of the airline
Replies: 43
Views: 14299

Re: Shutting down most of the airline

https://www.flightradar24.com/data/airlines/f8-fle/fleet This is an excellent, concise resource which raises a lot more questions that management will have trouble brushing off. Both NGs have been ferried to Tucson, FFLJ on Nov 5 and FFLC on Oct 11, so the latter has been out of service for a full ...
by SPR
Sat Oct 28, 2023 12:48 pm
Forum: General Comments
Topic: And so it Begins
Replies: 48
Views: 8728

Re: And so it Begins

There's a reason Spirit is the first one to stop hiring, and it has nothing to do with the world imploding. It's because passengers are choosing to fly on legacy carriers instead of ULCCs: https://onemileatatime.com/insights/air-travel-demand-softening/ The consensus among legacy carriers is that de...
by SPR
Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:26 am
Forum: Flair Airlines
Topic: FLAIR NOT PAYING PILOTS FOR WORK
Replies: 140
Views: 229769

Re: FLAIR NOT PAYING PILOTS FOR WORK

I believe the purpose of a first CBA as a sched airline... I don't understand why so many people qualify statements about Flair's operational performance or employment conditions with caveats based on the transition to being a scheduled operator, or even call them a "start-up". Flair is 18 years ol...
by SPR
Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:23 am
Forum: Air Transat
Topic: BEWARE $30,000 BOND FOR 3 YRS
Replies: 144
Views: 51362

Re: BEWARE $30,000 BOND FOR 3 YRS

A 100k 1st year would change absolutely nothing. The driving factors are understandably long term job security and pension at AC along with fleet and pay ceiling. All this would do is waste money on people doing training or line indoc who might leave. Airlines traditionally have a very low 1st year...
by SPR
Fri Aug 25, 2023 9:12 pm
Forum: Air Transat
Topic: Air Canada vs Air Transat
Replies: 35
Views: 19069

Re: Air Canada vs Air Transat

accountant wrote: Fri Aug 25, 2023 8:33 pm Love how pilots complain about working 16 days a month when the average person works 22.

Suck it up buttercups.
Does the average person work 13-hour days? In those 22 days they work 176 hours, whereas the pilot who works 16 13-hour days works 208.

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