Todays TAF

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pelmet
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Todays TAF

Post by pelmet » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:37 pm

Copied from another forum so I don't know the accuracy.

MYGF 012300Z 0200/0224 33050G100KT 1600 +TSRA BKN012CB BKN090 OVC200 FM021300 VRB80G200KT 800 +TSRA BKN009CB OVC050


Gotta admit, I have only been in an aircraft with 60G80KT....but we were parked at the gate after not being able to make it out before the storm. 200knots seems like an exaggeration though.

Updated...just checked Allmetsat and it isshowing on there as the TAF from 4 hours ago. No metar though. Perhaps somebody didn't make it into work.
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mixturerich
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by mixturerich » Sun Sep 01, 2019 9:47 pm

A Washington Post article says “On Sunday night, as the storm’s eyewall rammed into Grand Bahama Island, the storm was predicted to unleash wind gusts up to 220 mph”

Terrifying
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Kaykay
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by Kaykay » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:06 pm

pelmet wrote:
Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:37 pm
Gotta admit, I have only been in an aircraft with 60G80KT....but we were parked at the gate after not being able to make it out before the storm. 200knots seems like an exaggeration though.
I disagree. 200 knots doesn't sound like an exaggeration at all to me. National Hurricane Centre says category 5 hurricanes have sustained winds 157mph (137 knots) or higher. Add that to the predictions of 200mph winds in the Bahamas, I'd say a forecast wind of 80G200 is fairly reasonable.
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ant_321
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by ant_321 » Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:28 am

It’s legit. I had a look at the TAF last night.
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rookiepilot
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by rookiepilot » Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:43 am

How long would the gust have to last to lift an A380 off the ground?
Question for the scientific minds....
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Aviatard
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by Aviatard » Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:33 pm

rookiepilot wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:43 am
How long would the gust have to last to lift an A380 off the ground?
Question for the scientific minds....
Depends. Is it on a treadmill running in the opposite direction?
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TeePeeCreeper
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by TeePeeCreeper » Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:50 pm

Aviatard wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:33 pm
rookiepilot wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:43 am
How long would the gust have to last to lift an A380 off the ground?
Question for the scientific minds....
Depends. Is it on a treadmill running in the opposite direction?
Add to that “What if the A380 carried a cargo load of swallows that all started taking flight at the same time”

Isn’t there a performance chart for that?
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schnitzel2k3
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by schnitzel2k3 » Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:25 pm

I feel like its contemplating the fallout of getting nuked by Trump if it crushes Mar-a-lago.

In all seriousness though, I feel for all my colleagues in the Bahamas who have had to endure an entire day of hell.

Scary stuff, and more on the way.

S.
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Last edited by schnitzel2k3 on Tue Sep 03, 2019 10:32 am, edited 1 time in total.

goingnowherefast
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by goingnowherefast » Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:26 pm

TeePeeCreeper wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:50 pm
Aviatard wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:33 pm
rookiepilot wrote:
Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:43 am
How long would the gust have to last to lift an A380 off the ground?
Question for the scientific minds....
Depends. Is it on a treadmill running in the opposite direction?
Add to that “What if the A380 carried a cargo load of swallows that all started taking flight at the same time”

Isn’t there a performance chart for that?
African or European swallows?
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goldeneagle
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by goldeneagle » Wed Sep 04, 2019 4:40 pm

Airport aftermath that taf from here :- https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/hurricane ... -1.5269563

Image

Interesting that the props on the red one are feathered, and there seems to be a cowling from something blue there too.
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mixturerich
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by mixturerich » Wed Sep 04, 2019 8:18 pm

Maritime flying should be fun this weekend as the storm hits...
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PilotDAR
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Re: Todays TAF

Post by PilotDAR » Thu Sep 05, 2019 6:32 am

I also wondered about the feather props on the smashed C 340. I wonder if someone deliberately feathered them before the storm approached to slightly reduced drag as it was faced into the wind. I guess not a bad idea. That said, I thing that the wind direction changes quite a bit as the hurricane passes over. The cowl is from a 172, as it's the top and bottom connected, I would expect that it was not on a 172 at the time. Loose cowls get pretty mobile in a wind. Seeing the damage to hangars at Freeport airport, I can imagine that the cowl had been inside a hangar, and was blown out. 'Sure is a lot of damage in the Bahamas, climate change is a real thing...
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