have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
I have enough cash to cover 2.5 years of current living expenses without having to touch my equities. Anyone who is heavily involved in equities that does not keep a good cash cushion is IMHO, a fool
My house is fully paid off but I am seriously looking at a 100 K mortgage to spend on quality dividend paying equities. I don’t think we are anywhere near the bottom, but if there is a 50% drop I am definitely going to pull the trigger. Mortgage rates are dropping and the nearest thing to free money now.
My house is fully paid off but I am seriously looking at a 100 K mortgage to spend on quality dividend paying equities. I don’t think we are anywhere near the bottom, but if there is a 50% drop I am definitely going to pull the trigger. Mortgage rates are dropping and the nearest thing to free money now.
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Was a sarcastic comment trying to imply that maybe luck, not the identification of the virus being the catalyst, may be responsible for your perfectly timed selling activity - which you, yourself, have admitted to.dialdriver wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:51 amTrying to time the market usually results in below market returns, so I got lucky this time. I will be looking at getting back in when we see a period of stability.Pilotdaddy wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:17 amNice! Now tell us where and when the bottom is coming...dialdriver wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:01 am Sold at the peak of the market. Have been expecting a downturn and figured this virus would be the catalyst.
Not at all trying to pick a fight, but coming from my old line of work, nothing fires me up more than correlation equals causation types of statements.
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
It's absolutely insane.... Assuming the banks pass on the full (2nd) 50bp cut into the prime rate, my variable will be 1.7%! Agree with you that there is a strong case there to borrow against it if this free for all continues in the equities market.Big Pistons Forever wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:05 am I have enough cash to cover 2.5 years of current living expenses without having to touch my equities. Anyone who is heavily involved in equities that does not keep a good cash cushion is IMHO, a fool
My house is fully paid off but I am seriously looking at a 100 K mortgage to spend on quality dividend paying equities. I don’t think we are anywhere near the bottom, but if there is a 50% drop I am definitely going to pull the trigger. Mortgage rates are dropping and the nearest thing to free money now.
Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
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Last edited by f70d40 on Tue May 23, 2023 7:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
One thing you may want to think about is having some cash on hand.
Cash in the bank is no good to you if you can't access it.
Google "Fractional Reserve Banking" if you want to learn more about how debt based money works.
If you or I did what the banks do we would be arrested and thrown in prison for Racketeering.
The World has changed - better to over prepare than to get caught unprepared imho.
Cash in the bank is no good to you if you can't access it.
Google "Fractional Reserve Banking" if you want to learn more about how debt based money works.
If you or I did what the banks do we would be arrested and thrown in prison for Racketeering.
The World has changed - better to over prepare than to get caught unprepared imho.
Always fly a stable approach - it's the only stability you'll find in this business
Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
We COULDN'T do what the banks do. They literally print money in amounts they see fit. The problem is that they're not governments. Governments can print money and it is not a problem, because they are backed up by the ability to generate tax revenues. Everyone always has to pay their taxes. Not everyone can pay the bank back as we see from time to time. BIG difference between personal debt and government debt. Banks are into personal debt.
- rookiepilot
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
I'm not trying to be a jerk, as I feel terrible for the job pain in the aviation sector. I take no pleasure in what I've been writing about the risks from the debt issues over the last couple of years, and for folks to get settled, cut their debts, and be prepared.Big Pistons Forever wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:05 am
Mortgage rates are dropping and the nearest thing to free money now.
Your post displays a common, profound misunderstanding of how mortgage rates are set.
Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
Fixed rates are NOT set by the bank of Canada, but move in line with 10 year government bond yields.
Check what they are doing the last few days. There is no "free lunch, free money".
Educate yourself.
Adding a load of debt is the last thing I would do. But that's me.
Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Best to just stay in the market unless you have a reason to exit such as retiring or needing the cash. As an example...
In cases like this, Time is your friend.
https://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/investi ... eraging-2/
Stay calm, if you believe in your plan then stick with your plan.
In cases like this, Time is your friend.
https://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/investi ... eraging-2/
Stay calm, if you believe in your plan then stick with your plan.
I'm going to knock this up a notch with my spice weasle. Bam!
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Correct (somewhat, it's actually based on the bond market as a whole... not just govt) on fixed rates.rookiepilot wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:42 am
Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
Fixed rates are NOT set by the bank of Canada, but move in line with 10 year government bond yields.
However, I challenge that statement on the variable... Can you give me one instance when banks did not lower rates when the BoC lowered? If you mean, sometimes they don't pass on the entire cut, then I agree... but that's not the same as your statement... Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Everyone has to have a plan to manage the downside. I am in the position that I could lose the entire 100K I borrowed at what will probably be a 1.5 % interest rate, and pay back the loan and still be OK
But, It would be unprecedented in the history of world markets dating back to the 1700’s for the market downturn, which IMHO still has lots more room to drop, to not eventually recover.
Markets know only fear and greed. Eventually stocks will drop far enough that greed overtakes fear. My personal market entry point is an approximate 50 % drop from the February highs which based on the history of past bear markets will probably happen late this summer. At that point I will load up on blue chip equities with a long history of stable dividends.
My expectation is that in 3 years or so I will have the loan paid off and a nice chunk of unanticipated extra fun money.
Disclaimer. I spend my money on my women, good red wine, airplanes, and boats, the rest is wasted
But, It would be unprecedented in the history of world markets dating back to the 1700’s for the market downturn, which IMHO still has lots more room to drop, to not eventually recover.
Markets know only fear and greed. Eventually stocks will drop far enough that greed overtakes fear. My personal market entry point is an approximate 50 % drop from the February highs which based on the history of past bear markets will probably happen late this summer. At that point I will load up on blue chip equities with a long history of stable dividends.
My expectation is that in 3 years or so I will have the loan paid off and a nice chunk of unanticipated extra fun money.
Disclaimer. I spend my money on my women, good red wine, airplanes, and boats, the rest is wasted
- RRJetPilot
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Right now.Pilotdaddy wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 1:14 pmCorrect (somewhat, it's actually based on the bond market as a whole... not just govt) on fixed rates.rookiepilot wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:42 am
Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
Fixed rates are NOT set by the bank of Canada, but move in line with 10 year government bond yields.
However, I challenge that statement on the variable... Can you give me one instance when banks did not lower rates when the BoC lowered? If you mean, sometimes they don't pass on the entire cut, then I agree... but that's not the same as your statement... Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
https://twitter.com/ronmortgageguy/stat ... 4116992006
https://twitter.com/SteveSaretsky/statu ... 5809185792
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
RRJetPilot wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 3:32 pmRight now.Pilotdaddy wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 1:14 pmCorrect (somewhat, it's actually based on the bond market as a whole... not just govt) on fixed rates.rookiepilot wrote: ↑Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:42 am
Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
Fixed rates are NOT set by the bank of Canada, but move in line with 10 year government bond yields.
However, I challenge that statement on the variable... Can you give me one instance when banks did not lower rates when the BoC lowered? If you mean, sometimes they don't pass on the entire cut, then I agree... but that's not the same as your statement... Yes, banks MAY follow and lower variable rates. MAY. Or may not.
https://twitter.com/ronmortgageguy/stat ... 4116992006
https://twitter.com/SteveSaretsky/statu ... 5809185792
Yes, as mentioned already, the spread between the overnight drop versus what is being passed on to the consumer can vary - I agree. Looking at the attachment, I can't spot a point where the lines diverged.
Additionally, variable mortgages are locked at a 'prime minus' clause typically. So yes, they can offer you a measly discount prime minus 0.5 now, but that doesn't invalidate those individuals that signed up on a prime minus 1.25 ~2 years ago...
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
This one goes further back... Spreads do change yes, but generally speaking, the BoC rate directly impacts the prime rate.
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Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
I am now 90% in cash. Sold on Peak day + 2. Pretty happy about that move.
Futures down again, looking at what the Fed's QE is going to do to the markets this week.
It's all about risk. Right now the risk of lower equity prices is higher than the chance of higher equity prices.
Futures down again, looking at what the Fed's QE is going to do to the markets this week.
It's all about risk. Right now the risk of lower equity prices is higher than the chance of higher equity prices.
Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
US Federal Reserve to announce immediate rate cut and massive stimulus package, in concert with other Nations. Interest rate cut to between 0% and 0.25%, and upwards of $700BN USD for Quantitative Easing.
In other news, futures are down 4% with the announcement.
In other news, futures are down 4% with the announcement.
Re: have you parked your saving in cash to ride..
Two words to riches ...Toilet Paper!
Accident speculation:
Those that post don’t know. Those that know don’t post
Those that post don’t know. Those that know don’t post