AC will not be adding 893 pilots in the next 12 months. That is more likely an 18 month hiring timeframe.sportingrifle wrote: ↑Tue Jun 07, 2022 11:23 pm The interesting part will be watching what happens when Jazz can’t live up to its side of the PML to supply 535 pilots to AC in the next year. (Hint: If you want to go to AC and have left seat 705 time, don’t apply to Jazz.)
And standby for a greatly uplifted and long overdue new hire pay scale.
Can Jazz supply 535 pilots over 12 months? No. Over 18 months? Possibly.
The issue circa June 2022 is that there probably not 535 qualified Jazz applicants. But over the next 18 months there probably will be.
The later 2022 AC PIT courses will be full of Jazz pilots (to catch up to the annual 60%). 2023 may start the same (first courses weighted towards OTS) but it won’t work to simply play catch up in the second half of the year. I would expect a more even distribution as Jazz will have to get out ahead in hiring and upgrading between now and summer 2023. Jazz is also exiting a few airframes in 2023 so that will help.
If I told you that a Jazz July 2022 new-hire ATPL would have a 90% chance of being at AC sometime in 2023, would you consider that better odds than OTS? I guess that is the bet some will be placing.