hopper wrote:With globalization, an increase in middle class incomes throughout asia and middle east, constant oil price pressures, and demand for cheaper flights perpetuated by stiff competition, I see domination of low cost carriers as inevitable. Air Canada will never give this up. I absolutely believe that over the next several years there will be a large shift from AC's current structure as the public supports the discount airfares. There is no way they can continue paying all employees current salaries. There are too many inefficiencies in their current structure.
It's just supply and demand...it's already happening throughout asia and the middle east and quickly. Even look no further than the commuters and regional carriers in the U.S. The profession and glory days, is changing rapidly. We are fighting it here in Canada, but it's scary.
Hopper......a well written post and bang on from this writer's point of view.
Comparisons to ZIP and TANGO and TED and SONG are not representative of today's aviation world and as well do not reflect the "
Walmartization wave" that we are experiencing in our everyday living. Even Sears is in trouble and appears to be unable to compete.
A look at AC's latest 3rd QTR. net loss (9 months now at $189M net loss) and you can see that something has got to change. If we factor in the pension payment changes starting in 2014 and the large capital repayments ($1.5 B) due in 2015 and beyond, you can see that a return to a CCAA court restructuring is a definite possibility in the not too distant future.
Here is the Catch 22. How do we, as an Association, structure the introduction of a new Low Cost Carrier to Air Canada without the wages and working conditions associated with this new entity eventually becoming the template for wages and working conditions at the mainline on our next trip through CCAA?
Very carefully would be my suggestion.