complex
(Sorry this is a bit long winded but it's something to do on a layover)
I'm guessing you're in DXB....
I can appreciate where you're coming from but I'd say we still differ on some points though. In a couple of cases it looks like it may have more to do with my choice of words or incomplete thoughts. Chosen more for brevity than anything else. But in essence, I agree with some of your points. Just, not all.
I didn't say EK
"cooked their books". I did say
I wouldn't be surprised IF they did. How I would find proof would likely be difficult, regardless of my reasons for making such a statement, I don't think it matters in any opinionated discussion. Why would I (or anyone else for that matter) imply they might employ '
useful' or '
advantageous' bookkeeping methods?
Here's why.
I don't buy it because I'm cynical, doubtful and familiar with the extent of nepotism, egos, and face saving that goes on over there. It doesn't matter to me which Gulf carrier we're talking about. They can show us whatever profit statement they like but I for one, would still doubt it's legitimacy or, at the very least, it's accuracy.
It's going to be interesting now that Tim Clarke has announced he's leaving. Who will ascend to the throne of power and continue to lead this financially powerful airline? How long will its string of profitable years remain unbroken? I bet it will be for many years to come and it won't matter who leads the airline because of rampant nepotism, ego, and face saving.
Did I mention power? (
tongue in cheek)
Isn't it interesting to watch Al Baker manipulate the aircraft manufacturers like a grand puppeteer? Must be nice to have access to that kind of dosh. Boeing and Airbus eating out of your hand. To influence aircraft design. Capacity requirements.
He's not alone. Sheikh Ahmed has their ears as well.
My experiences from actually living over there is admittedly out of date. I've watched Emirates expand and expand and expand over the years. I've seen the dismantling of Gulf Air (
once my favourite airline). The creation of QR (
now my favourite airline) with its single leased A310. The birth of Etihad. Even the evolution of Oman Air in its variety of colours, shapes and sizes. Who knows what the Q8 crowd are doing?
The economy in the Gulf seems unreal to not only me but to many I've worked with over there who've expressed the same opinion. Totally unreal. What do I mean?
In 1989 the dirham was 3.68 to the USD. What is it today? Exactly the same? The same can be said of all GCC states. So, there aren't the market fluctuations that affect industry and commerce in the UAE as it does everywhere else. Yet, EK (
and I would imagine EY) crew have their salaries tied to their home country currencies where more realistic markets exist in an ever changing reality. Salary protection at Qantas? Lufthansa? Air Canada? United? Who pays for that? (
rhetorical question)
Too many independent auditors out there, like KPMG, Ernst&Young, Price Waterhouse and Deloitte, have all misjudged the financial statements of companies in the past. What about today or tomorrow? They can only audit the numbers provided and the company accountants know what numbers the auditors are going to see.
We've both survived the financial collapse of Wall Street and probably the crash of 1978 as well. Where were those auditors then?
I don't know about you but this has made me a skeptic. So, EK can make whatever claim they like and I'm betting the word profit will be found in that claim, regardless.
HA!
I'm reading about a new gargantuan airport in Dubai that MUST accommodate 100 A380s at Emirates insistence. Is an airport like that really necessary on top of what's already there? 100 A380s!!!
Here's the thing. If EK demands it, the Gov't of Dubai will build it. Instant solution for docking EKs 100 A380s to a bridge at a terminal to board passengers. Were Air Canada to demand the same of our government, how would that workout for AC? Sound fair?
Now, what about paying passengers? Well, as you know, the average Baluchi in the UAE can't afford a ticket to Baluchistan but his employer can. What if this worker is a driver with EK? Who pays for his ticket? (another rhetorical question)
What about the Canadian pilot and his family on their annual sabbatical? (
Yes, another rhetorical question)
What airline is going to pay for the employees annual travel ticket out of its own pocket to itself and claim a profit?
Isn't that having your cake and eating it too? Not many of the worlds airlines enjoy that perk.
If I were to break down what I thought were normal airline operating costs, I wouldn't say employee repatriation tickets, employee housing, employee school fees, employee transportation allowances, employee health care, employee fees for government administrative fees, etc., etc., etc., are normal in most airline operating costs. The price of a repatriation ticket, I thought, would be included as an operating cost and for an airline like Emirates, I imagine any impact on posting a profit or loss would see these costs shifted from its balance sheet to perhaps another financial statement like DNATA, Marhaba Services or some other division to escape the real financial cost of the operation. I don't have to tell you, Air Canada, British Airways or any American carrier for that matter, I doubt these carriers have these expenditures in their financial statements. They probably also don't sponsor F1 cars (
actually Air Asia did at one point) and races, professional sports teams, tennis tournaments and any of their associated prizes. Just to give you an idea of my train of thought as soon as I read their claims of a profit year after year.
Sorry, but I'm just not convinced the price of a ticket between any point-to-point on EKs network has sufficient yield, full load or not, to make a profit in such a competitive airline environment.
They are strictly about market dominance at any cost and judging by what they're doing, I simply can't imagine they are legitimately profitable.
In the end, does it really matter? Not really. Opinion is simply opinion.
Cheers
Gino Under