flyguy73 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 17, 2020 11:06 am
montado wrote: ↑Tue Nov 17, 2020 10:36 am
flyguy73, May I ask if you understand IFR, why is it you come on here and say the fatality rate is 3 percent? I don't know your motivation to blatantly lie about things you claim to understand. So now I am even more confused as to why you are not ignorant, but you are just a flat out liar. Certainly running around saying covid kills 3 percent of those who get it is not they type of lie I would tell if I wanted the economy to pick up and for people to fly again.
Oh and here is some not anecdotal tweet by Toronto public health. Say what you want about Covid, but the leadership during the pandemic has been atrocious. Can you blame anyone for questioning every government decision when Government and Public Health blatantly admit to idiotic policy.
https://twitter.com/topublichealth/stat ... 67?lang=en
"Individuals who have died with COVID-19, but not as a result of COVID-19 are included in the case counts for COVID-19 deaths in Toronto."
Oiy. Just because I'm presenting data that runs counter to your argument doesn't make me a liar. I'm just presenting the same information available to everyone. And yes, TPH may lump all people who died with COVID together as it becomes a co-morbidity. Not saying this is justified, not saying it isn't. I'm not an epidemiologist.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
World-wide: 55M cases, 1.3M deaths. That's nearly 3%. Please present contrasting data from a reputable source that says otherwise. This source is about as scientific as is possible. If you have other information, please present it.
I understand that different populations will have different death rates and that the true infection rate is likely higher than that presented here. But probably not by a factor or 20 like you propose. This probably makes the true IFR closer to 0.5-1% across the board. But this is still at least 10 times more deadly than the flu and MUCH more virulent. Catching COVID is much easier than catching the flu. Nearly 5000 people a day are not catching influenza in Canada, but they are getting COVID. This is why governments have imposed lockdowns. It IS serious. Why do you choose to not believe the facts?
Honestly, I think I'm done with this argument. I'm evaluating reputable evidence to come to my conclusions. I am willing to admit that I am not a virologist or epidemiologist and don't have expertise in these fields. But I am a Medical Scientist with a PhD and do understand a few things about critical thinking. I know the amount of work that I put into my field and trust my knowledge. I apply the same level of trust to other professional Scientists who have put their lives into understanding issues such as COVID. I base my opinion on their knowledge.
Nah you just don't want to argue in good faith. By your method of argument, if we just stopped testing for covid cases except for those people who die, then you would argue covid has a 100% death rate.
And here from Dr. Michael Ryan of the WHO
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/05/who-10p ... irus-.html
"The head of emergencies at the World Health Organization said Monday its “best estimates” indicate that roughly 1 in 10 people worldwide may have been infected by the coronavirus — more than 20 times the number of confirmed cases — and warned of a difficult period ahead."
So you go against this experts... and this statement is over a month old, so if it was 10 percent then what is it now?
flyguy73-"But this is still
at least 10 times more deadly than the flu and MUCH more virulent" Can you do math? Because the IFR for influenza is 0.1, and you put the estimate at 0.5-1.0 for covid...
But this is still
up to 10 times more deadly than the flu.
FTFY
For someone with a PhD, you sure could pass for a drama major. If you were into critical thinking you would not be adding so much salt to your facts. Its clear your goal is to bend the facts as much as possible without being a straight up bullshitter. Pretty much inline with the medias methodology of reporting. I would think when it comes to a pandemic we should be as objective as possible. You, our governments, and Public Health don't seem to demonstrate that ability for whatever reasons.